Half-Life 3 will be released in 2014

Half-Life 3 has to be officially playable in 2014 for this statement to be TRUE. Pre-orders or leaks don't count.

Info

Opening date: Nov. 23, 2012
Bet deadline: Dec. 3, 2014 end of day Eastern Time
Event date: Dec. 31, 2014 end of day Eastern Time
Category: Entertainment
Total agree bets: 1.23
Total disagree bets: 0.00
Total weighted agree bets: 21863.557
Total weighted disagree bets: 0.000